Saturday, December 21, 2024

Tariff red flags, unfounded panic, and stuff.

From my response to Facebook chats etcetera.


I WOULD rather hope for new economic strategies (tariffs etc) in 2025 than "smartly" send doomsday signs. All these tariff red flags are "future tense" negativity pitched by liberals. Meanwhile, Mr Trump expects to sit with the Chinese next year and whatever deals they agree on, decides what's up. 



       Joe Biden (or his emissaries Antony Blinken and Janet Yellen) failed to break the Chinese on the trade table several times, mainly due to Joe's inconsistent or mostly aggro tactics vs the CCP. 

       Anyhow, the facts (after and during): Grocery prices are up 20 percent in the last 4 years. Current inflation rate is 2.4 percent. Economists forecast 3.1 percent as 2024 ends. Last year, it was 4.1 percent, down from 8 percent in 2022. In Mr Trump's last year, 2020, it was 1.23 percent. In pandemic time, 2019, it was 1.8 percent.

       Why the Chinese? No brainer. Over 40 percent of U.S. imports come from China. Some that come from elsewhere (like Mexico) somehow have Chinese investments or loans in them. If manufacturing is done here in the U.S. mainly, with over 8000 U.S. companies already operating in China, expect prices to go even higher. Of course. The last year the U.S. had a trade surplus was in 1975. 🏛🗽🏛


Sunday, December 8, 2024

Farms. Agriculture. Food. Stuff.

From my response to Facebook chats etcetera.


A LONG time ago, China and Japan closed their ports to Western "outsiders." Before the Opium Wars (1839-1860), China’s protectionist policy limited trade with the West to the port of Canton (now Guangzhou). Meanwhile, the only Japanese port that was open to the West in the 1630s was Nagasaki, or a small artificial island called Dejima, but only a few Chinese and Dutch merchants were allowed to trade in Japan then.



       Well, the U.S. was seeking new markets for its manufactured goods and raw materials, and Japan had been practicing isolationism for 220 years! No way. Year, 1853. President Millard Fillmore ordered Commodore Matthew Perry to use “gunboat diplomacy” to establish trade relations with Japan in 1853. Of course, Mr Perry succeeded. And then came the Boxer Rebellion (1899 to 1901, Qing Dynasty) versus the Eight-Nation Alliance of foreign powers (you know who led the group). The Boxers were defeated so the Alliance forced the dynasty to submit to a punitive settlement that included opening new ports to trade with European and American traders. 

       Of course, Spain, Portugal, Britain, Netherlands, and other European powers were already embroiled in power play out there, who'd get to the region's massive resources. For example, old Burma had one of the earliest oil diggings, a major reason why the British came. Etc etcetera. Sans war (which of course happened) there's nothing wrong with trade between countries. So I don't get why many Americans dislike trade with China, when back in history, the West had to use an iron arm to pressure the Chinese to do business. 🍍🥥🍅




AMERICA is the world's #1 consumer market, regardless of China. The Chinese can sell and invest in other countries, especially with its BRICS bloc buddies which are huge economies, plus those “little” countries that they handed investments and loans. But since the trade pact of 2000, U.S. corporations have gained a lot of economic benefits from China as well. As we speak, 8,000+ US companies are operating there, including giants like Microsoft, GM, Boeing, Coke and Apple Inc. Yet China isn't even a top 15 FDI country in the US (#1 is Japan).   

       Meanwhile, sure we can perhaps boycott Chinese products per sinophobia. Yet the APIs in America's endless supply of drugs, silicon in our computers, and many more products that don't show "made in China" actually came from China. 🍍🥥🍅


AMERICA will have to sell (or export) its produce, still is.

       And Americans are still consuming its produce (from local farmers), in abundance, so much so that 40 percent of food in the U.S. is wasted or thrown away, annually. Meanwhile, it is not the fault of importing countries such as China and Mexico why our market is clogged with their products or products made by them or bought by U.S. companies from them to sell us. 

       The economic system that governs the U.S. which benefits huge American corporations does that. NAFTA, WTO, and as I said U.S./China trade pact. The last year the U.S. had a trade surplus was 1975. Hint: EPA was born in 1970. Overproduction (agriculture and manufacturing, including oil digging and mineral mining) does mess up the environment but we need to consume, right? As we desire a cool air. Hence, we gotta buy or import from others. The U.S. is already #1 producer of oil and natural gas yet we are still buying. Clogging the internal market with all these makes them relatively financially affordable to consumers (check gasoline prices in Europe, for example). Etc etcetera. 



       Bottomline, how do we fix this? Government leadership? How? This is America Incorporated. Maybe cut our consumerism? How? I don't know of any American with no maintenance meds or computer run gadgets or a car. Even U.S.-owned guns are manufactured elsewhere. Ergo, just enjoy life. Imagine the people in Gaza or Sudan. We got life, they don't. 🍍🥥🍅


WE  should not assume that others don't or they don't do "their best" to help make this world a better place. Me? But "support to the livelihoods of farmers" is a long discussion. But I will do away with the word "our." I view farmers in China, Philippines, Mexico, the U.S.--Afghanistan, Mali, and Lithuania etcetera--with the same level of humanity. But not how I view Big Corporations who buy their produce and market them home-based or overseas and the government leadership that implements "rules" on the trading table.

       In the micro. I try not to throw away food or I "recycle" leftovers for dinner. I. cook my food or try not to eat food from fast food counters or restaurants. That's how I was raised or grew up. I am not a picky eater either (although I was a vegetarian for many years in my younger life). I eat anything that is farmed, manufactured or whatever my personal economics can afford. As long as they are called Food. Yet I don't really ponder if my dinner was farmed by migrants or white people, black people, Chinese or Mexicans. I try not to lose my appetite with drama. Instead I trajectory my displeasure towards the Bigger Power (no, not God, LOL! I mean political power of profit). 🍍🥥🍅


[Photos: World Bank. AZoSensors. Minnesota Department of Agriculture.]


Thursday, December 5, 2024

Words and Stuff and Love

Previously posted on my Facebook page. Or written years ago, unedited/not updated.


IT seems so effortless. I say words or write poems to try to comfort worried hearts and ease clouded minds. As though I had it all figured out—that healing wounds or making someone feel better is something that I am “good at.” Like that silly song, “Handy Man” is saying: “I fix broken hearts, I know I truly can.” But do I know what love really is? I don't know. 



       It's an individual truth. I am confident I know somehow how to project love yet do I know how it really works? Depends on the person receiving and giving, right? Interplay of negotiations. Interface of compromises. What I share in the area of love, relationships and all these sweet shenanigans don't necessarily work for me. How I wish that I am the dude who receives advice rather than the one giving it. Yet it doesn't lessen my joy when someone—either here on Facebook or in my little shows—tell me, “You made me feel better.” 

       That's cool. That's all the hero I need to be. 💖💔💝


WHEN I look at some relationships, I wonder what really works? Yet I have been a witness to many relationships that work and those that didn't. There seems to be a pattern (at least with people that I know). Most of those that end in divorce appear to stand by the dictum, “I do my thing, you do yours” and “I keep my own money, you spend yours.” In other words, they try to sustain their singlehood freedom while under one roof. They tend to idealize family and explore new dimensions yet they fight a lot or they don't talk a lot. 



       The other one is what the first one calls “uptight” and conservative. This kind of couple shares all as per conjugal belongings—bank account, decisions, church, problems, even friendships. They even share one email address. They “lose” their individual-ness (as opposed to individuality) in a synergetic whole and functions as per an agreed plan and direction. They have more laughter than arguments. They don't put so much ado on how to correctly raise children—they worry more about education and trust fund. 

       Most of these unions carry on to their 30 year anniversary or longer. Of course, a relationship isn't black and white or polar extremes. Just saying. 💖💔💝