Saturday, February 15, 2025

Trump and Tariffs. And more Trump. And Life and Stuff.

Responds to Facebook chats.


I DON'T know why (after Donald Trump's first 4 years) many still don't know how he rolls. The real object of the "tariff trickery" is China. Mexico and Canada (NAFTA/USMCA pals) are no-brainers, although per Claudia Sheinbaum, the migrant deal is a chess move (it was a different move with Mr Obrador then). Canada's issue is internal (who will replace Justin Trudeau). 



       In 2016-2020, Trump's China tariff was lower (than what Barack Obama had) which led to a trade pact in 2020. Joe Biden didn't follow through and stayed low as China moved pieces per "green industry" export market (read EVs). 

       Both Biden and Trump invested big on tech. We need silicons etc. which China (and BRICS) has plenty of. Now Mr Trump raises the China tariff as he moves to a second trade pact. But China responded but not much yet the CCP clearly sends a subtle message. So let's see. 

       Washington tariff has always been up/down after China joined the WTO in 2001 due to the obvious. 


MEDIA plays the Trump storyline as click baits. Donald Trump is entertainment. The more he is hated by the Left, the more it's "fun" to them. And social media isn't about discussion of policies and stuff. It's a partisanship "mud fight." Tariff play is a trade move, which has to be modified, especially since China rolls the dice that isn't traditional Western commerce. 

       Meanwhile, since the Chinese government or CCP is top-down and their major industries are state-owned, they can simply issue economic modifications which usually "surprises" the West. They can because they have ample raw/pertinent materials and the largest labor force + they already scattered investments all over the world. 

       But the U.S. has stronger political clout (refer to why T shudders foreign aid, another chess move). The U.S. needs to be smarter. I am not saying Trump is smarter but he is a businessman, not a military strategist or traditional politician. He adjusts his playbook like a chess player, but we don't know if this will work. (And China isn't dumb either.) 

🏛🗽🏛


Life and Stuff. 

MY mindset is still lodged in the 1970s-1990s though or my writing demeanor is old-school. Without this platform or internet, I am still writing or publishing a newspaper as I did. Life is easier. (I only do FB and streaming TV, not other platforms.) But this life is now about my kids and grandkids. I am just a ghost enjoying what is here till I expire.




NEVER been sick (except occasional pollen allergies) since 2000. Not even fever. So I don't do maintenance drugs. No debts and my kids are now professional adults, who are relatively fine.

       That is why I said I am a ghost simply watching the world till I expire. I am unbelievably well. But I'm bored. At least until the start of gardening and yard work in spring.


WHEN I said my mind is in the `70s, it's mainly how I compare rage (or my rage vs dictatorship back home) and the hate these days. Then, the rage inspired me in a creative though radical way; these days, the hate pulls deep, implosion. So different. 

       And I am not really heaping blame on Left or Right per se. Howard Zinn predicted this divide (powered by hate, spread by the one-click internet) a few years before he died in 2010. Last protest movement that I embedded myself as a journalist was the Occupy movement in 2010, which didn't make sense to me; the last protest with a pro-active sense to me was the 1999 Battle of Seattle, which I covered.

       The times have changed a lot. the 1960s to 1990s was easier to navigate; 2000 to 2020s is so complex yet still shallow to me. ☮️☮️☮️

Saturday, February 8, 2025

FAVORITES and INFLUENCES.

Previously posted on my Facebook Page.


FAVORITES. The sea. I emanated from an archipelago or a country with 7,641 islands. Surrounded by waters. Although I am not into swimming, water sports, or long travels by ship, I love the sea. (Though I worked with fisherfolk as an organizer for NGOs.) The sight of the sea offers me peace and quiet. The mountain that is adjacent to the ocean: The ideal existence. Summer trips to the sea in the province, on school breaks, punctuated my younger years. 🏝🌅🏝




INFLUENCES. William Shakespeare (1564 – 1616). English playwright and poet. Widely regarded as the most influential writer in the English language and the world's pre-eminent dramatist. His plays have been translated into every major language and are performed more often than those of any other playwright. Mr Shakespeare’s body of masterpieces continues to be studied and reinterpreted. No writer, I believe, denies the influence of Shakespeare in their work. ✍️📚✍️


FAVORITES. Spaghetti Western. Films produced in Italy mostly; mid-1960s. Sergio Leone! His films "demythologized” the conventions of traditional U.S. Westerns. My favorite Sergio Leone movies: “The Good, the Bad and the Ugly,” starring Clint Eastwood, and “Once Upon a Time in the West.” Others: “Django” by Sergio Corbucci, and those hilarious Bud Spencer and Terence Hill films. Yes! Music by the great Ennio Morricone. 🐴🤠🐴


INFLUENCES. Bob Dylan’s “Blowin’ in the Wind.” He wrote the song when he was 21 years old. The song was included on his 1963 album “The Freewheelin' Bob Dylan.” A protest song that poses a series of rhetorical questions about peace, war, and freedom. The refrain "The answer, my friend, is blowin' in the wind" has been described as "impenetrably ambiguous: either the answer is so obvious it is right in your face, or the answer is as intangible as the wind.” 📚🍎🎼


FAVORITES. Scrapbooking. A method of preserving and arranging personal and family history in the form of a book, box, or card. Typical memorabilia include photographs, printed media, and artwork. Scrapbook albums are often decorated and frequently contain extensive journal entries or written descriptions. When we were young, I was the voluntary organizer of the family albums. Always have patience and diligence to spend hours in a weekend for scrapbooking. ✂️📘✒️




INFLUENCES. Greek Mythology. The body of myths as told by the ancient Greeks. The ancient Greek religion's view of the origin and nature of the world; the lives and activities of deities, heroes, and mythological creatures; and the origins and significance of the ancient Greeks' cult and ritual practices. Modern scholars study the myths to shed light on the religious and political institutions of ancient Greece, and to better understand the nature of myth-making itself. 🧙‍♀️🧝‍♀️🧙‍♂️


FAVORITES. Fish dishes. Choice of meal? Fish. All kinds of fish. With the head or fillet. The only food that I order at a Mexican restaurant is Mojarra Frita or fried tilapia. However a fish is cooked or prepared, that’s fine with me. Poached. Steamed. Grilled or barbecued. Baked. Braised. Fried. Microwaved. Air-fried. Sushi. Ceviche or “kinilaw.” My most favorite was “steamed lapu-lapu” (grouper) that my mom used to serve me, since I was the only heavy fish-eater in the family. 🐟🦈🐠


INFLUENCES. “Jonathan Livingston Seagull” is an allegorical fable written by Richard Bach. It is about a seagull who is trying to learn about flying, personal reflection, freedom, and self-realization. It was first published in book form in 1970 with little advertising or expectations; by the end of 1972, over a million copies were in print, the book having reached the #1 spot on bestseller lists mostly through word of mouth recommendations. A high school influence. 📚🍎🎼


FAVORITES. Haunted houses. Always been fascinated by “haunted houses.” As a little boy, I wasn’t scared of the dark or ghosts. “Paranormal spirits” won’t hurt us. Bad people do. I had many trips to visit haunted houses in the Philippines and in America. An old Hispanic house owned by a kin in Pangasinan province was a favorite. My aunt told me guerrillas in WW2 died in the basement. And “kapre” or giant man-horses lingered around on full-moon nights. Fun! 🧛‍♂️🏚🧟‍♀️


INFLUENCES. Woodstock, a rock music festival at Max Yasgur's farm in the town of Bethel, New York from 15 to 18 August 1969. It might be the most famous rock concert and festival ever held. For many, it showed the counterculture of the 1960s and the "hippie era.” Many of the most famous musicians at the time showed up during the rainy weekend, as can be seen in a 1970 movie, Woodstock. The festival was a major influence of my Traveling Bonfires. 🎸🎼☮️


[Photos: Pinterest. BeFunky.)

Tuesday, February 4, 2025

DeepSeek. Algorithms Trump. Oscars.

Responses to Facebook Friends’ Posts. 


DeepSeek and A.I. and U.S. and China and Stuff. 


LET’S put it this way: Some 30+ percent of U.S. imports come from China. Some 8,619 U.S. companies (including the biggies) are active in China. Why? Because we are buying nonstop, so they are selling or U.S. corporations continuously buy and manufacture products there to sell here for higher profits, less overhead. Etc etcetera. 



       Meanwhile, as the TikTok brouhaha was high, owner ByteDance created Lemon8, now they've tossed us Rednote. And after President Trump upped the mojo on A.I. projects (as in $100 billion in federal investments) the Chinese came up with DeepSeek. 

       Thought: The competition is economic, not military. That's why China has the global trade leverage. Yet in economics, it's all business. In the military, it's war.


THAT”S the way of the (superpower) world. A combination of global narcissism and business profit. We can only hope for less damage, yet the damage is more truth than fact. A.I. can be used in so many ways but I see more bad than good. At least, Mr Trump is more dovish per se than hawkish (like Mr Biden). But it doesn't mean the geopolitical fight is gone. Always there will be a "who is #1" competition. 

       Yet imagine, if China is "fighting" militarily over economics? Then that'd be the end of us. At least the U.S. and China are dealing with business with each other. Or talking. 🦿🤖🦾


The algorithm leads to Trump/Vance?


WHY so much fuss about wherever the (Facebook) algorithm brings us? Or seems to lead us? This is the internet. 95 percent of what I get on my email inbox are business ads. 90 percent of what I read on my Homepage are hate posts or hate memes. whether those are Left, Right or whatever angle Trump is tackled (mostly negative yarn or hate pitch). 



       So I just post as is to please me. Ignore the rest. I am a writer who loves to read what I write. So I just enjoy my structured postings. Dog and cat videos are a bonus. Life is good. Ceasefire in Gaza finally happened. My kids are fine and my dinner of “sinigang na baboy” + leftover steak from last night is ready. And I am set to face TV right now. 📱📲🥹


This year's Oscar awards drama.


Ah Hollywood drama! 

Anyway, I was offended somehow by that "Everything Everywhere All at Once" movie that won a lot of awards in 2023 Oscar. But it's just 1 movie. So many movies to watch! But true, gone were those days when a movie was a movie. Exemplary and awful. Delineations were clear. These days, “culture war” distracts from the entertainment value of movie watching. 

       Anyways. I got a few whoa?!? moments in the last Golden Globes. In the TV category, Cristin Milioti ("The Penguin") was obviously a lot better than all nominees in the category (I saw them all in their movies). But it was Jodie Foster (“True Detective: Night Country”) who won. Because Colin Farrell won already for “The Penguin,” I guess? 

       Everybody be happy? Give awards as well to Koreans, Japanese, or Mexicans? Meanwhile, Jessica Gunning (“Baby Reindeer”) won over Allison Janney (“The Diplomat”). Obvious? "Shogun" was kickass as a series per se but the acting wasn't so award-worthy. But what about Cosmo Jarvis? I digress. 🎥📽🥲


Saturday, January 18, 2025

Fact Checks and Mark Z. and Stuff.

From my chat with friends on Facebook.


WHY is Mark Zuckerback and Facebook “fact checks” so big a deal? People believe or click/share whatever they want to believe, especially political memes or links. Fact or fake. Social media is not New York Times etc. Difference is Facebook posts are written by ordinary people; NY Times reports, by professional (or paid) journalists. But FB or NY Times feeds both elicit individual readings or common sense.



Meanwhile, for our own individual convenience or pleasure, we fact check stuff whatever is tossed at us. I believe that's the way it has always been. Whether FB fact checks or not, we still need to dig things up. Although the common trend is people click/share as long as the post/meme satisfies their partisan/political angst. They don't really care about facts/fakes.


Facebook Friend 1: “Good point. We aren't babes in the woods anymore. We understand Fake News and that everything in print or on TV is not necessarily true. Don't we?” / Facebook Friend 2: “We do. But there are a lot of ppl that don’t. They’re too lazy to pick up a book or do some more research than the meme that is in front of them. It’s truly sad.”


ISN’T that what it is these days? That's just the way the media has evolved. In fact, even traditional/mainstream media's reportage has become (blatantly) subjective or opinionated or angled towards a preferred party politics. And the choice of front page news has also turned ridiculous. (A celeb's new dog is news or a parent cracking an egg on a kid's head is viral.)

       True, others don't double check stuff but I don't think that'd be others' worry. LOL! In fact they're cool clicking and sharing inane memes. Their daily entertainment. Even if you tell them "That is fake!" as long as the post feeds their political zealotry, they'd carry on and even insult you for correcting the data. Before Mr Zuckerberg’s announcement, I don't think FB ever "fact checked" or if it did, still they let go posts/memes that are massively clicked (regardless it is fake). 👧📱🧒


Thursday, January 16, 2025

Compilation of short MORNING THOUGHTS.

Previously posted on my Facebook Page.


When I was a little boy, my mind was always working on the "how" rather than the "what." A tiny talking box called a transistor radio puzzled me. So I tore it down to find out. (Bad!) To keep my (then) 5-year old son’s hyper-activity contained, I’d bring home bond papers from work, and then he’d start drawing on the other side. His art had backstories that he’d joyfully tell me. Last Christmas, I sent my grandson Keian an MTV “screen print” kit. Get the boy's mind working. 👶👀👦




YOU see, in these days when everything is electronically easy, children have to be motivated to think as they play. Somehow, that was my little trick with Arrow when she started chewing antique furniture in the house right after we adopted her. So I went to Goodwill Outlet and brought the dog a bag of stuffed toys to “eat.” Then I notice she doesn’t just tear them down. She figures out why the toys are squeaking. She knows how to start—by biting out the eye part to get in like a surgeon. If it’s hard to break the toy, she’d coax me to play tug. Smart dog! 


Correctness? Life now and then. Grass fed: Cattle were fed grass, hay, corn etcetera. Grain supplements and by-products, nope. Free range: Chickens, ducks, goats roamed the farm, freely. Handcrafted: Rice wine (“tapuy”) was made by hand in the house. Non-GMO/organic: Open-market veggies and meats, non-factory, were cooked before eaten. Herbal cure: Boiled guava leaves. A smart UC Berkeley grad lectured me on how to live a responsible, wellness life? Duh. ?☎️🐴


My activism began when I protested the dumping of mining wastes on a mountain river in a small town where I grew up. I pursued journalism so I could find out more about what’s going on. Before I was introduced to Leftist politics, it was all gut-level facts to me. So I don’t get the dissing of Walmart over Exxon. Black Lives Matter in America over black lives matter in Africa. One-time $11-20 billion border wall over an annual $768-770 billion military spending. (Re)educate me what really is activism. ☮️✊☮️




Craze at the moment on Facebook is the “10 Year Challenge” app. It upstaged the Betty White passing and the “Don’t Look Up” brouhaha. Certainly more fun frolic and grownup chill than all the juvenile political dissing and anti-Christian insults. Sure, there’s the Jan 6 hoopla and Novak Novac thingy but hey this is electronic plaza. To click or not to click? / That is the question—/ Whether 'tis nobler in the mind to suffer…” Anyways, here is my 10-year challenge contribution. LOL! 👺🤠👽


The country with the most 1-person households is the United States. I notice that it is more of a choice than a consequence. Strange to me since I emanated from a planet where “aloneness” isn’t a cultural fact. No one lives alone. If neighbors notice that you are alone, they’d come knockin’ like crazy, 15x a day—with a bowl of “pansit” or a cerveza and offer to watch TV or play chess. If you insist on your aloneness, they’d spread rumours that you are a vampire, zombie, or a werewolf. 🤠👺👽


Words. Words are words. I was born into and grew up in a world where language is more sound-based than correct vocabulary. Tagalog and other tribal dialects are long, repetitive syllables or wordage. Mostly, we’d rather gesture with our nose, hands, or roll our eyes to speak our mind. No problemo. Then the internet was born, then Social Media. Boom! Words got complex. Politics. But then “Let’s go Brandon!” isn’t as nasty as parallels with Hitler, ain’t it? Words. Word... 🗣🙉😂


Our inconsistencies. Unvaccinated world #1 tennis player Novak (“novak,” dig?) Djokovic is barred from playing at the Australian Open set to start on the 17th. Yet Kyrie Irving, unaxxed as well, was allowed to play in the NBA, which sends players to weekly “covid protocols.” Meantime, U.S. ice hockey players say they are boycotting the Beijing Winter Olympics next month. Covid? Politics? Yup. But not business: Google how many U.S. companies are operating in China. 

       Other tennis issue: If Djokovic wins this year’s Australian Open, that’d be his 21st Grand Slam title. A world record, which breaks his tie with Roger Federer and Rafael Nada, 20 titles each. And by the way, Novak is “money” in Serbian language. Champ’s purse in Men’s play in Australian Open: $2.75 million. 🎾💉🎾




We sit in front of the computer and read stuff. Warnings of virus doom that stay over reassurances of end of scourge. News Left, News Right. Contradicting info. We issue criticism of leadership, blame stuff, whine no end—in here. Yet the truth is, whatever happens to the world or however politics evolves, we have a personal life. Family. The first and last field of battle to fight; first and last garden of goodness to enjoy. Till we get distracted again with stuff. 😟📲😫


Omnism is the recognition and respect of all religions and their gods or lack thereof. Eckankar is a New Age monotheistic religion. One God for all. “Religious Pluralism” is also expounded in Yan Martel's “Life of Pi.” While differences amidst diversity is a primal human reflex, unity or coexistence amidst such a reality is also a non-impossibility. Yet when Faith or non-Faith is boxed as a political exclusive, it gets harder. At least, these days. But hope springs eternal. 🦋🌺🐓


Many ask: "Do you trust science?" How about an analogy. "Black powder" was first used for festival fireworks in old China. Then Marco met Kublai. Science ensued and increased black powder's potency. Gunpowder was born. Wars got weirder. Enter opium, coca, cannabis. Herbs. Eased pain. Until science entered, made `em into mass-produced drugs, increased dosage. Kick is spiked for profit. Consumer products. But science is also cool. Like, cars finally rested the horse. 🔭💊🔬


[Photo: Eric Wrobbel.]

Saturday, December 21, 2024

Tariff red flags, unfounded panic, and stuff.

From my response to Facebook chats etcetera.


I WOULD rather hope for new economic strategies (tariffs etc) in 2025 than "smartly" send doomsday signs. All these tariff red flags are "future tense" negativity pitched by liberals. Meanwhile, Mr Trump expects to sit with the Chinese next year and whatever deals they agree on, decides what's up. 



       Joe Biden (or his emissaries Antony Blinken and Janet Yellen) failed to break the Chinese on the trade table several times, mainly due to Joe's inconsistent or mostly aggro tactics vs the CCP. 

       Anyhow, the facts (after and during): Grocery prices are up 20 percent in the last 4 years. Current inflation rate is 2.4 percent. Economists forecast 3.1 percent as 2024 ends. Last year, it was 4.1 percent, down from 8 percent in 2022. In Mr Trump's last year, 2020, it was 1.23 percent. In pandemic time, 2019, it was 1.8 percent.

       Why the Chinese? No brainer. Over 40 percent of U.S. imports come from China. Some that come from elsewhere (like Mexico) somehow have Chinese investments or loans in them. If manufacturing is done here in the U.S. mainly, with over 8000 U.S. companies already operating in China, expect prices to go even higher. Of course. The last year the U.S. had a trade surplus was in 1975. 🏛🗽🏛


Sunday, December 8, 2024

Farms. Agriculture. Food. Stuff.

From my response to Facebook chats etcetera.


A LONG time ago, China and Japan closed their ports to Western "outsiders." Before the Opium Wars (1839-1860), China’s protectionist policy limited trade with the West to the port of Canton (now Guangzhou). Meanwhile, the only Japanese port that was open to the West in the 1630s was Nagasaki, or a small artificial island called Dejima, but only a few Chinese and Dutch merchants were allowed to trade in Japan then.



       Well, the U.S. was seeking new markets for its manufactured goods and raw materials, and Japan had been practicing isolationism for 220 years! No way. Year, 1853. President Millard Fillmore ordered Commodore Matthew Perry to use “gunboat diplomacy” to establish trade relations with Japan in 1853. Of course, Mr Perry succeeded. And then came the Boxer Rebellion (1899 to 1901, Qing Dynasty) versus the Eight-Nation Alliance of foreign powers (you know who led the group). The Boxers were defeated so the Alliance forced the dynasty to submit to a punitive settlement that included opening new ports to trade with European and American traders. 

       Of course, Spain, Portugal, Britain, Netherlands, and other European powers were already embroiled in power play out there, who'd get to the region's massive resources. For example, old Burma had one of the earliest oil diggings, a major reason why the British came. Etc etcetera. Sans war (which of course happened) there's nothing wrong with trade between countries. So I don't get why many Americans dislike trade with China, when back in history, the West had to use an iron arm to pressure the Chinese to do business. 🍍🥥🍅




AMERICA is the world's #1 consumer market, regardless of China. The Chinese can sell and invest in other countries, especially with its BRICS bloc buddies which are huge economies, plus those “little” countries that they handed investments and loans. But since the trade pact of 2000, U.S. corporations have gained a lot of economic benefits from China as well. As we speak, 8,000+ US companies are operating there, including giants like Microsoft, GM, Boeing, Coke and Apple Inc. Yet China isn't even a top 15 FDI country in the US (#1 is Japan).   

       Meanwhile, sure we can perhaps boycott Chinese products per sinophobia. Yet the APIs in America's endless supply of drugs, silicon in our computers, and many more products that don't show "made in China" actually came from China. 🍍🥥🍅


AMERICA will have to sell (or export) its produce, still is.

       And Americans are still consuming its produce (from local farmers), in abundance, so much so that 40 percent of food in the U.S. is wasted or thrown away, annually. Meanwhile, it is not the fault of importing countries such as China and Mexico why our market is clogged with their products or products made by them or bought by U.S. companies from them to sell us. 

       The economic system that governs the U.S. which benefits huge American corporations does that. NAFTA, WTO, and as I said U.S./China trade pact. The last year the U.S. had a trade surplus was 1975. Hint: EPA was born in 1970. Overproduction (agriculture and manufacturing, including oil digging and mineral mining) does mess up the environment but we need to consume, right? As we desire a cool air. Hence, we gotta buy or import from others. The U.S. is already #1 producer of oil and natural gas yet we are still buying. Clogging the internal market with all these makes them relatively financially affordable to consumers (check gasoline prices in Europe, for example). Etc etcetera. 



       Bottomline, how do we fix this? Government leadership? How? This is America Incorporated. Maybe cut our consumerism? How? I don't know of any American with no maintenance meds or computer run gadgets or a car. Even U.S.-owned guns are manufactured elsewhere. Ergo, just enjoy life. Imagine the people in Gaza or Sudan. We got life, they don't. 🍍🥥🍅


WE  should not assume that others don't or they don't do "their best" to help make this world a better place. Me? But "support to the livelihoods of farmers" is a long discussion. But I will do away with the word "our." I view farmers in China, Philippines, Mexico, the U.S.--Afghanistan, Mali, and Lithuania etcetera--with the same level of humanity. But not how I view Big Corporations who buy their produce and market them home-based or overseas and the government leadership that implements "rules" on the trading table.

       In the micro. I try not to throw away food or I "recycle" leftovers for dinner. I. cook my food or try not to eat food from fast food counters or restaurants. That's how I was raised or grew up. I am not a picky eater either (although I was a vegetarian for many years in my younger life). I eat anything that is farmed, manufactured or whatever my personal economics can afford. As long as they are called Food. Yet I don't really ponder if my dinner was farmed by migrants or white people, black people, Chinese or Mexicans. I try not to lose my appetite with drama. Instead I trajectory my displeasure towards the Bigger Power (no, not God, LOL! I mean political power of profit). 🍍🥥🍅


[Photos: World Bank. AZoSensors. Minnesota Department of Agriculture.]